It is the 19th of February 2017

News

A "Multi-Billion Trade Meltdown" - Here Is The Reason For The Market's Inexplicable Surge

We have noted in the last few days the divergences between US equity and volatility markets and chatter of a major fund needing to liquidate positions. After today's price action (and more color from trading desks) we are starting to see the 'fingerprints' of what appears to be a multi-billion dollar forced short cover that has almost perfectly correlated with the linear surge in US stocks.

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RBC: "This Is The $1 Trillion Question On Our Clients' Minds"

With Dennis Gartman seemingly correct this time, and the market not only melting up, but in full "blow off top" mode, traders can only sit back and watch in quiet amazement how nothing can lead to even the most nominal of downticks. So in hopes of bringing some daily clarity, here is RBC's cross-asset head Charlie McElligott with his daily dose of market zen, focusing not only on the key events of the day, namely China's record credit injection and Yellen's more hawkish than expected Congressional testimony, but with an observation of what "continues to be the chief concern of clients on recent marketing swings", namely "The TRILLION dollar question: when does all of this “inflation as a good thing” tip over into “inflation with no growth”—aka STAGFLATION?"

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China Orders No Market Selloffs During President's Davos Trip

As we observed in yesterday morning's market wrap, while US traders took the day off for the MLK holiday, China was busy defending an accelerating selloff across its stock markets.

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The "Most Bearish Hedge Fund" Capitulates: "We Are Beginning To Close Parts Of Our Short Book"

One month ago we reported that having successfully avoided a calamity for most of 2016 despite being massively net short, somewhere to the tune of around -90%, at times rising as high as -105%, Horseman Globa, finally had a bad month. In fact, losing -12.80% in November the hedge fund which we previously dubbed "the world's most bearish hedge fund" due to its staggering net bearish bias, had just suffered its worst month in history as "the short book, the bond book and the forex book lost money."

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