It is the 16th of October 2017

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Stocks Surge To Moar Record Highs But Taylor Chatter Spooks Bonds, Dollar, & Gold

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  • 2 hours, 11 minutes ago
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Another day, another record high...

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Deutsche Bank: "This Is The $2.5 Trillion Question"

Next Wednesday, the Fed is widely expected to officially launch its balance sheet reduction or "normalization" process, as a result of which it will gradually taper the amount of bonds its reinvests in the process modestly shrinking the Fed's balance sheet.

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Goldman Slashes Q3 GDP By 30% Due To Hurricane Disaster

Yesterday, when commenting on the impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, we noted that even before the two devastating storms were set to punish Texas, Florida and the broader economy, erasing at least 0.4% GDP from Q3 GDP according to BofA and costing hundreds of billions in damages (contrary to the best broken window fallacy, the lost invested capital more than offsets the "flow" benefits from new spending, which is why the US does not bomb itself every time there is a recession to "stimulate growth"), things were turning south for the US economy, which in turn prompted Deutsche Bank to point out that (adjusted) recession risk, at roughly 20%, is now the highest in the past decade, and that it was quite prudent for the Fed, which expects to hike rates at least once more in 2017, to pause its current tightening, especially since a period of both economic and market weakness is imminent.

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China Loans Guinea $20 Billion In Exchange For Minerals

Having already taken over Venezuela with billions of pre-petition Debtor in Possession loans to the soon to be insolvent nation, China has franchised its model of financial colonialism, perfected over the decades by the IMF and World Bank, and on Wednesday agreed to lend Guinea $20 billion for 20 years in exchange for concessions on bauxite, an aluminum ore of which the West African country has vast resources the country's mines minister said.

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Dan Loeb: "None Of Our Early Predictions Have Come To Pass"

Below are some key highlights from Third Point's latest Q2 letter, in which we find that Dan Loeb, despite some early market turbulence and thesis drift, has again managed to do what 95% of his peers have been unable to do, outperforming the S&P YTD and returning 10.7% through June 30, up 4.6% in the second quarter.

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Even Schwab Is Warning Retail Clients Of "Danger Signs Rising"

You know it's bad when even the traditional 'pumpers' are getting anxious. While obviously counched in its own "well maybe that's not totally terrible" spin, reading the following from Charles Schwab suggests Liz Ann Sonders, Brad Sorensen, and Jeffrey Kleintop were all struggling to defend any bullish position and perhaps more desperate to CYA in case reality doesn't match their hard-sold perception...

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