It is the 26th of June 2017

News

Your Future Wealth Depends on what You Decide to Keep and Invest in Now

  • Millienials look for instant gratification
  • Spend half of their income on leisure
  • Instant gratification doesn’t work if need to save for the future
  • Savings rates falling, few have retirement funds
  • Important to understand marginal difference between spending and pleasure
  • Future wealth depends on what you decide to keep and invest in now

This week the festival of all festivals begins, Glastonbury 2017. Ed Sheeran, Foo Fighters and Barry Gibb will each be singing to the 250,000 revellers who are currently on their way to Somerset. To those unfamiliar with Glastonbury it is a glorious few days in the countryside with camping and music. Every year there is far too much mud, lots of tears, alcohol, dodgy substances, hippies and great bands. Not to mention the fancy dress outfits and the toilets with questionable sanitary conditions. It is brilliant fun which everyone should try at least once.

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Inflation is no longer in stealth mode

  • IHS Markit index shows UK households pessimistic about finances for 2017-208
  • UK household finances remain under intense pressure from rising living costs
  • 58 percent of respondents expected higher interest rates in 12 months time
  • Inflation in the United Kingdom currently at near four-year high
  • Prices up prices by 2.9pc year-on-year, biggest annual increase since June 2013
  • In May consumer spending in the UK fell for the first time in almost four years

By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. John Maynard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace (1919)

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UBS Has Some Very Bad News For The Global Economy

At the end of February we first highlighted something extremely troubling for the global "recovery" narrative: according to UBS the global credit impulse - the second derivative of credit growth and arguably the biggest driver behind economic growth and world GDP - had abruptly stalled, as a result of a sudden and unexpected collapse in said impulse.

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JPMorgan Lists Five "Red Flags" That Point To A 10% Downside Correction

The first time JPMorgan warned of market downside was in early March when the bank's US equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas wrote that while the fundamental backdrop remains supporting, the "short-term downside risk" in the S&P is increasing. Less than two months later, JPM presented six "red flags" why it is starting to sell stock. Just a few weeks later, JPM turned up the alarm again in late May, when the bank "sounded the alarm on the size of US debt, and warned of a financial crisis" while in the interim, JPM's quant Marko Kolanovic on several occasions warned that stocks are poised for a sharp drop due to purely technical and systemic factors. Of course, throughout this period stocks only kept going higher, closing at all time highs last Friday.

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